Asset Level Modelling of RISKs In the Face of Climate Induced Extreme Events and ADAPTtation
| Project title: | Asset Level Modelling of RISKs In the Face of Climate Induced Extreme Events and ADAPTtation |
| Project team: | Assoc. Prof. Dr- Gašper Rak; Assist. Prof. Dr. Mateja Škerjanec |
| Duration: | 36 Months From January 1 2023 till December 31 2025 |
| Project code: | 101093939 |
| Lead partner: | RISA Sicherheitsanalysen GmbH |
| Project leader | assoc. prof. Gašper Rak (UL FGG) |
| Other project partner’s organization: | 1 RISA SICHERHEITSANALYSEN GMBH DE 2 FMI ILMATIETEEN LAITOS FI 3 UU UNIVERSITEIT UTRECHT NL 4 RUG RIJKSUNIVERSITEIT GRONINGEN NL 5 BIBM BUREAU INTERNATIONAL DU BETON MANUFACTURE BE 6 UNIBO ALMA MATER STUDIORUM – UNIVERSITA DI BOLOGNA IT 7 USTUTT UNIVERSITY OF STUTTGART DE 8 ULFGG UNIVERZA V LJUBLJANI SI 9 RINA-C RINA CONSULTING SPA IT 10 TECNIC T.E.C.N.I.C. TECNICHE E CONSULENZENELL’INGEGNERIA CIVILE-CONSULTING ENGINEERS-SPA IT 11 ERRA ENVIRONMENTAL RELIABILITY AND RISK ANALYSIS EL 12 RWM PERIFEREIA DYTIKHS MAKEDONIAS EL 13 MTr Comune di Trieste IT 14 SCN DIKTYO POLEON GIA TI VIOSIMI ANAPTYXI KAI KYKLIKI OIKONOMIA EL 15 UHK THE UNIVERSITY OF HONG KONG HK 16 FGRID FINGRID OYJ FI 17 KENTRIKI Odos ODOS KENTRIKIS ELLADOS S.A EL 18 UOB THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM UK |
| Source of finance: | HORIZON-MISS-2021-CLIMA-02 |
| Key words: | Multi-hazards; Climate changes; Structural Resistance; Multi-Hazard Modelling; Multi-Hazard Vulnerability and Adaptation |
Description:
RISKADAPT will provide, in close cooperation with the end-users/other stakeholders, a novel, integrated, modular, interoperable, public and free, customizable user-friendly platform (PRISKADAPT), to support systemic, risk-informed decisions regarding adaptation to Climate Change induced compound events at the asset level, focusing on the structural system. PRISKADAPT will explicitly model dependencies between infrastructures, which, inter alia, will provide a better understanding of the nexus between climate hazards and social vulnerabilities and resilience. Moreover, this project will identify gaps in data and propose ways to overcome them and advance the state of the art of asset level modelling through advanced climate science to predict Climate Change forcing on the structure of interest, structural analyses, customized to the specific structure of interest, that consider all major Climate Change induced load effects in tandem with material deterioration, novel probabilistic environmental life cycle assessment (LCA) and life cycle cost (LCC) of structural adaptation measures and a new model to assess climate risk that will combine technical risk assessment with assessment of social risks.
RISKADAPT will provide values to a set of indicators for each asset of interest, quantifying primary parameters and impacts, in the form of a Model Information System (MIS) that will provide all required information for adaptation decisions. PRISKADAPT will be implemented in the case studies in the pilots that involve specific assets, however, it will permit customization with local values of parameters and data, so it can be applicable throughout Europe for Climate Change adaptation decisions involving assets of similar function, exposed to multiple climate hazards.
Main goals:
The key goals of the RISKADAPT project, in addition to the development of the PRISKADAPT platform, which will support systemic decisions regarding composite natural hazard events, are also a better understanding of the links between natural hazards and social vulnerability and resilience. In addition, the project will identify gaps in data sources and propose ways to address them, and improve the state of the art of modeling critical infrastructure loads upon occurrence of natural hazard events, as a result of CC, along with material deterioration, new probabilistic Environmental Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) and life cycle costs. cycle (LCC) of structural adaptation measures and a new model for climate risk assessment, which will combine technical risk assessment with social risk assessment. The methodologies developed in the case studies in the pilot areas will be designed with the possibility of adaptation with local values of parameters and data, thus ensuring applicability in different areas of Europe.
Project work packages:
1. Project Coordination
2. User Requirements, Architecture
3. Climate Data, CC Forcing, Multi-Hazard Modelling
4. Multi-Hazard Vulnerability and Adaptation, Structural Resistance Integration in Lifecycle Analyses
5. PRISKADAPT, MIS and Data Gaps
6. Demonstration and Validation Activities in Pilot Cases; Third Party Use of TPRISKADAPT/MIS
7. Dissemination, Communication, Exploitation, Standardisation, Contribution to Policy