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Project Team:
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Duration:
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24 Months
01.11.2024 – 31.10.2026 |
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Project Code:
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V1-24022
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Lead Partner:
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University of Ljubljana, Biotechnical Faculty
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Project Leader:
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Other project Partner’s Organization:
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Univerza v Ljubljani, Biotehniška fakulteta
Univerza v Ljubljani, Fakulteta za gradbeništvo in geodezijo Univerza v Ljubljani, Naravoslovnotehniška fakulteta Univerza v Ljubljani, Medicinska fakulteta Univerza v Mariboru, Fakulteta za turizem |
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Source of Finance:
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 Slovenian Research And Innovation Agency  Ministry of the Environment, Climate and Energy Ministry of Cohesion and Regional Development |
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Key words:
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Description:
Slovenia is developing a climate change (CC) adaptation strategy in which regional development agencies will play an important role. Although theSlovenian Environment Agency has prepared calculations of trends in meteorological variables and CC projections up to the end of the century, thereis still no regional analysis of all the specific impacts of CC. Such an analysis would systematically identify the most important consequences foreach statistical region (hereinafter referred to as region). In addition, the projections may be difficult to understand for regional decision makers.Therefore, the main objective of this project is to develop baselines that will later enable an assessment of the sectoral vulnerability of regions to CC.This will form the basis for the formulation of appropriate CC adaptation measures in regional action plans. The methodology will include a review of existing studies and data on CC and sectoral vulnerability in the regions, with a focus on CC impacts suchas high temperatures, droughts, floods and landslides. The following sectors were selected for closer examination: drinking water supply, forestry,agriculture, health and tourism. After the review, a further sectoral analysis by region adhering to the IPCC methodology for determining vulnerabilitywill follow. However, due to limited resources, this will not lead to a final assessment of vulnerability in all sectors. Instead, it will at least provide thebasis and recommendations for identifying which regions need a more specific vulnerability analysis for which sectors. In part, we will also draw onthe results and methodology of the national sectoral vulnerability assessments, which are expected to be produced at the same time.
Main Goals:
1) For each region, we will identify the most prominent past trends in climate change and prepare an overview of climate change projections for the future, at least for the period 2041–2070, based on ARSO archival data and projections. We will establish a matrix to define the relationships between climate variables (e.g., temperature, precipitation, etc.), the consequences of climate change (e.g., floods, landslides, water deficits, heat islands, etc.), and the exposed sectors (SKD, COFOG). To these relationships, we will add groups of suitable sectoral adaptation measures to address climate change. 2) Based on the generalized relationships developed in Objective (1), we will identify, for each region, the specific sectors that are expected to be most affected by climate change, taking into account the region’s specific social, economic, and natural structures, as well as the expected impacts of climate change. 3) For each statistical region, we will determine the degree of exposure to climate change and, where data within the time frame allow, also the vulnerability to climate change. We will also assess the adaptive capacity of each addressed sector based on the available indicators for that sector. 4) For each region, we will analyze how the impacts of climate change are addressed in the Regional Development Programmes (RDPs) for the 2021–2027 period: whether climate change is mentioned in the RDP, included among the goals and priorities, and which impacts of climate change are addressed; whether the previously identified key climate change impacts for the selected region are included in its RDP and which adaptation measures are planned. We will also assess the adequacy of the planned adaptation measures based on the prepared expert foundations and provide recommendations for further analyses and guidance for future measures. 5) We will analyze the level of awareness and knowledge in the field of planning and implementing climate change adaptation measures among regional development actors at the regional level (RRAs, members of regional development councils and regional councils, selected regional committees) and among local-level authorities (mayors, municipal administrations).
Work Packages:
WP1: Identification of the impacts of climate change for each statistical region (M1-M10)
WP2: Identification of sectors in each region that will be significantly affected by climate change, and determination of the exposure (and vulnerability) level of each sector and its adaptive capacity (M3-M24)
WP3: Assessment of the integration of climate change impacts into regional development programs (M4-M20)
WP4: Assessment of the current awareness and knowledge in the field of climate change adaptation (M12-M22)